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Posted by7 days ago

Back in 2007 Paul Millsap was the backup of Boozer and put up spectacular numbers when you extend them to per 36 minutes. There was great skepticism that per 36 numbers don't translate since you may get more tired or you are playing against starters more and Millsap was no exception. However he put up even better numbers than his per 36 when he started compared to when he was on the bench. A writeup was done that analyzed cases where this happened and found that players generally perform as good or even better when they play more minutes and this wasn't just unique to Millsap. The biggest counter to this argument is that it is a self fulfilling prophecy, you get to play more because you are better so therefore of course you had better numbers. This writeup tried to minimize this by only looking at players who started unexpectedly, such as injury or suspension where the backup was suddenly thrust into the starting lineup (with decent sample size).

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