The Yang Gang is a strong supporter of RCV (to the point where it's one of the few policy planks of the Forward Party), and is also all about "data-driven solutions."
However, rarely do we see data come into discussions about RCV.
While I do support RCV, watching the NYC mayoral race made me question how much it really mattered. Adams had a sizeable lead in the first round, and ended up the eventual winner.
What's more, there was very little movement among the other candidates. Wiley started in 2nd, to eventually be replaced by Garcia in the penultimate round, but the two candidates were always within 2 points of each other. Yang started 4th and stayed in 4th until eliminated. Everyone else similarly didn't move.
So, while RCV gave us a ton of information about voter preferences in NYC, it didn't end up producing a different end result.
Digging into this, I found that only 4% of RCV races have a come-back-from-behind result. Source
And hey, 4% ain't nothing! Move just 1 Senate seat one way or the other and we have a very different political landscape.
But, 4% isn't really 4%. Had those races not had RVC, a lot of voters would have strategically voted for their second choice, and the same person would end up winning.
It seems that RCV probably changes the outcome of less than 1% of races, and then there's a big question lingering...
Has someone who was 3rd place or lower in round 1 ever come back to win?
Sorry, centrists, but I can only have 6 options :(
Yang fundraiser for Forward back independent moderate-conservative(anti-Trump) McMullin for Utah senate(no Democrat in Utah)
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